Model read: Romeo Doubs projects 40 rec yds (median), 0.5 under the 40.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+8.9 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-8.0 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | JAX | 49 | 4 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | PIT | 96 | 4 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | SEA | 0 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | BAL | 62 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk16 | CHI | 84 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | DEN | 36 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | CHI | 0 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | DET | 20 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk12 | MIN | 23 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | NYG | 53 | 8 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 40.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.