RJ Harvey Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

RB · DEN vs SF · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 22.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
22.5Week 4 line
20.9Model median
47%Model over
47ProprScore

Model read: RJ Harvey projects 21 rec yds (median), 1.6 under the 22.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+1.1 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-3.6 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

RJ Harvey vs the 22.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3LA417OVER
Wk 1KC234OVER
25 wk18LAC54UNDER
25 wk17KC336OVER
25 wk16JAX715OVER
25 wk15GB01UNDER
25 wk14LV256OVER
25 wk13WAS274OVER
25 wk11KC203UNDER
25 wk10LV93UNDER

Graded against this week's 22.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

14.5%Share of team throws
4.5Targets / game
43%Routes run
-1.3Avg depth of target
26.5Yards / game
43%Snap share

RJ Harvey's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.