Model read: Rhamondre Stevenson projects 19 rec yds (median), 0.5 over the 18.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by how many teammates are also drawing targets (+3.3 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-6.1 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | JAX | 16 | 3 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | PIT | 3 | 2 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | SEA | 44 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk18 | MIA | 22 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | NYJ | 55 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk16 | BAL | 27 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | BUF | 27 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | NYG | 40 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | CIN | 5 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk8 | CLE | 15 | 2 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 18.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.