Model read: Rashid Shaheed projects 17 rec yds (median), 4.2 under the 21.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+2.7 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-1.2 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | WAS | 14 | 3 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | ARI | 35 | 6 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | NE | 4 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk18 | SF | 2 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | CAR | 8 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | LA | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | IND | 74 | 7 | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | ATL | 67 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | MIN | 7 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk12 | TEN | 0 | 2 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 21.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.