Model read: Pat Bryant projects 17 rec yds (median), 6.1 under the 23.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by yards per target the defense allows (+1.4 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-8.7 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | LA | 44 | 2 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | JAX | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | KC | 42 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk18 | LAC | 31 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk16 | JAX | 42 | 8 | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | LV | 32 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | WAS | 42 | 7 | OVER |
| 25 wk11 | KC | 82 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk10 | LV | 43 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk9 | HOU | 20 | 3 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 23.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.