Ollie Gordon II Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · MIA vs MIN · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

1 of 10cleared 1.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
1.5Week 4 line
1Model median
47%Model over
59ProprScore

Model read: Ollie Gordon II projects 1 catches (median), 0.5 under the 1.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.

Ollie Gordon II vs the 1.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3KC33OVER
Wk 2SF00UNDER
25 wk18NE11UNDER
25 wk17TB00UNDER
25 wk16CIN00UNDER
25 wk15PIT00UNDER
25 wk14NYJ00UNDER
25 wk13NO00UNDER
25 wk11WAS00UNDER
25 wk10BUF00UNDER

Graded against this week's 1.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

3.6%Share of team throws
1Targets / game
30%Routes run
-2.1Avg depth of target
4.4Yards / game
30%Snap share

Ollie Gordon II's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.