How often has Matthew Stafford gone over 248.5 passing yards?

Matthew Stafford has cleared 248.5 passing yards in 8 of his last 10 games.

What is Matthew Stafford's passing yards line in Week 4?

Matthew Stafford's Week 4 passing yards line is 248.5 against PHI. The ProprStats model projects 264.8 (median).

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop — Week 4

QB · LA vs PHI · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

8 of 10cleared 248.5 passing yards in his last 10

248.5Week 4 line

264.8Model median

58%Model over

61ProprScore

Model read: Matthew Stafford projects 265 pass yds (median), 16.3 over the 248.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by receiver efficiency (+1.7 yds) and pulled down by team pass volume (-54.5 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Matthew Stafford vs the 248.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
25 wk18	ARI	259	—	OVER
25 wk17	ATL	269	—	OVER
25 wk16	SEA	457	—	OVER
25 wk15	DET	368	—	OVER
25 wk14	ARI	281	—	OVER
25 wk13	CAR	243	—	UNDER
25 wk12	TB	273	—	OVER
25 wk11	SEA	130	—	UNDER
25 wk10	SF	280	—	OVER
25 wk9	NO	281	—	OVER

Graded against this week's 248.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

9.3Avg depth of target

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Matthew Stafford overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.