Model read: Marvin Harrison Jr. projects 33 rec yds (median), 0.5 under the 33.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+2.4 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-2.8 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | SF | 40 | 5 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | SEA | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | LAC | 33 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | CIN | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | ATL | 14 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | TB | 69 | 7 | OVER |
| 25 wk10 | SEA | 33 | 12 | UNDER |
| 25 wk9 | DAL | 96 | 10 | OVER |
| 25 wk7 | GB | 58 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk6 | IND | 32 | 2 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 33.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.