Model read: Malik Washington projects 64 rec yds (median), 26.2 over the 37.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by how many teammates are also drawing targets (+32.5 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-6.2 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | KC | 56 | 10 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | SF | 43 | 5 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | LV | 53 | 8 | OVER |
| 25 wk18 | NE | 6 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | TB | 4 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | CIN | 23 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | PIT | 10 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | NYJ | 10 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | NO | 30 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | WAS | 42 | 3 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 37.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.