Model read: Malik Nabers projects 50 rec yds (median), 4.9 under the 54.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+3.8 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-2.5 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | TEN | 26 | 6 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | LA | 1 | 4 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | DAL | 69 | 9 | OVER |
| 25 wk4 | LAC | 20 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk3 | KC | 13 | 7 | UNDER |
| 25 wk2 | DAL | 167 | 13 | OVER |
| 25 wk1 | WAS | 71 | 12 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 54.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.