Model read: Malachi Fields projects 22 rec yds (median), 1.2 under the 23.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by target volume vs role baseline (+11.8 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-0.2 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | TEN | 19 | 2 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | LA | 30 | 6 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | DAL | 25 | 4 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 23.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.