Model read: Ladd McConkey projects 44 rec yds (median), 2.9 under the 46.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+3.3 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-6.6 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | BUF | 66 | 5 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | LV | 35 | 3 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | ARI | 82 | 7 | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | HOU | 31 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | DAL | 43 | 6 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | KC | 20 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | PHI | 12 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | LV | 39 | 6 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | JAX | 13 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk10 | PIT | 107 | 6 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 46.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.