Kyle Monangai Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

RB · CHI vs NYJ · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

5 of 10cleared 4.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
4.5Week 4 line
7.9Model median
61%Model over
65ProprScore

Model read: Kyle Monangai projects 8 rec yds (median), 3.4 over the 4.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by yards per target the defense allows (+1.8 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-1.0 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Kyle Monangai vs the 4.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3PHI00UNDER
Wk 2MIN112OVER
Wk 1CAR242OVER
25 wk18DET151OVER
25 wk17SF94OVER
25 wk16GB434OVER
25 wk15CLE02UNDER
25 wk14GB02UNDER
25 wk13PHI01UNDER
25 wk12PIT00UNDER

Graded against this week's 4.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

5.1%Share of team throws
1.5Targets / game
40%Routes run
1.3Avg depth of target
10.7Yards / game
40%Snap share

Kyle Monangai's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.