Kyle Juszczyk Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

FB · SF vs DEN · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

5 of 10cleared 8.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
8.5Week 4 line
11.7Model median
60%Model over
63ProprScore

Model read: Kyle Juszczyk projects 12 rec yds (median), 3.2 over the 8.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+1.4 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-0.9 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Kyle Juszczyk vs the 8.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3ARI02UNDER
Wk 2MIA272OVER
25 wk18SEA52UNDER
25 wk17CHI142OVER
25 wk15TEN71UNDER
25 wk13CLE272OVER
25 wk12CAR00UNDER
25 wk11ARI262OVER
25 wk10LA82UNDER
25 wk9NYG122OVER

Graded against this week's 8.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

7.0%Share of team throws
1.9Targets / game
48%Routes run
6.3Avg depth of target
13.4Yards / game
48%Snap share

Kyle Juszczyk's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.