Model read: Kyle Juszczyk projects 12 rec yds (median), 3.2 over the 8.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+1.4 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-0.9 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | ARI | 0 | 2 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | MIA | 27 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk18 | SEA | 5 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | CHI | 14 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | TEN | 7 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | CLE | 27 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | CAR | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | ARI | 26 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk10 | LA | 8 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk9 | NYG | 12 | 2 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 8.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.