Kirk Cousins Passing Yards Prop — Week 4

QB · LV vs KC · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

2 of 10cleared 223.5 passing yards in his last 10
223.5Week 4 line
233.6Model median
56%Model over
53ProprScore

Model read: Kirk Cousins projects 234 pass yds (median), 10.1 over the 223.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by team pass volume (+51.7 yds) and pulled down by coverage he’s facing (-62.6 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Kirk Cousins vs the 223.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
25 wk18NO180—UNDER
25 wk17LA126—UNDER
25 wk16ARI197—UNDER
25 wk15TB373—OVER
25 wk14SEA162—UNDER
25 wk13NYJ234—OVER
25 wk12NO199—UNDER
25 wk11CAR48—UNDER
25 wk8MIA173—UNDER
25 wk3CAR29—UNDER

Graded against this week's 223.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

7Avg depth of target

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.