Model read: Khalil Shakir projects 34 rec yds (median), 4.4 under the 38.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+8.6 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-5.7 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | LAC | 6 | 3 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | DET | 38 | 6 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | HOU | 50 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | PHI | 35 | 7 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | CLE | 34 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | NE | 65 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | CIN | 16 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | PIT | 5 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk12 | HOU | 110 | 10 | OVER |
| 25 wk11 | TB | -3 | 3 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 38.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.