Model read: Kenyon Sadiq projects 11 rec yds (median), 30.7 under the 41.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by target volume vs role baseline (+3.2 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-0.9 yds). ⚠ Listed Questionable: ~69% play-probability, so the workload is trimmed and the outcomes carry real mass at zero — treat with caution. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | DET | 105 | 8 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | GB | 17 | 3 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | TEN | 21 | 3 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 41.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.