How often has KC Concepcion gone over 4.5 receptions?

KC Concepcion has cleared 4.5 receptions in 1 of his last 3 games.

What is KC Concepcion's receptions line in Week 4?

KC Concepcion's Week 4 receptions line is 4.5 against PIT. The ProprStats model projects 2 (median).

KC Concepcion Receptions Prop — Week 4

WR · CLE vs PIT · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

1 of 3cleared 4.5 receptions in his last 3

4.5Week 4 line

2Model median

13%Model over

66ProprScore

Model read: KC Concepcion projects 2 catches (median), 2.5 under the 4.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

KC Concepcion vs the 4.5 line — last 3 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	CAR	2	9	UNDER
Wk 2	TB	6	6	OVER
Wk 1	JAX	4	5	UNDER

Graded against this week's 4.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

13.9%Share of team throws

0Targets / game

14%Routes run

11Avg depth of target

0Yards / game

0%Snap share

KC Concepcion's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 37.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked KC Concepcion overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.