Kayshon Boutte Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

WR · HOU vs DAL · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

4 of 10cleared 24.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
24.5Week 4 line
17.3Model median
39%Model over
65ProprScore

Model read: Kayshon Boutte projects 17 rec yds (median), 7.2 under the 24.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+4.0 yds) and pulled down by less certain of his role after the move (-15.6 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Kayshon Boutte vs the 24.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3IND212UNDER
Wk 2CIN375OVER
Wk 1BUF212UNDER
25 wk18MIA244UNDER
25 wk16BAL163UNDER
25 wk15BUF301OVER
25 wk13NYG355OVER
25 wk12CIN152UNDER
25 wk9ATL01UNDER
25 wk8CLE755OVER

Graded against this week's 24.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

9.7%Share of team throws
3.1Targets / game
65%Routes run
14.8Avg depth of target
32.8Yards / game
65%Snap share

Kayshon Boutte's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.