How often has Justice Hill gone over 1.5 receptions?

Justice Hill has cleared 1.5 receptions in 4 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Justice Hill's receptions line in Week 4?

Justice Hill's Week 4 receptions line is 1.5 against TEN. The ProprStats model projects 1 (median).

Justice Hill Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · BAL vs TEN · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 3

4 of 10cleared 1.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

1.5Week 4 line

1Model median

47%Model over

52ProprScore

Model read: Justice Hill projects 1 catches (median), 0.5 under the 1.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.

Justice Hill vs the 1.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	DAL	0	0	UNDER
Wk 2	NO	2	2	OVER
Wk 1	IND	1	1	UNDER
25 wk12	NYJ	0	0	UNDER
25 wk10	MIN	1	2	UNDER
25 wk9	MIA	2	2	OVER
25 wk8	CHI	0	0	UNDER
25 wk6	LA	5	6	OVER
25 wk5	HOU	1	2	UNDER
25 wk4	KC	5	6	OVER

Graded against this week's 1.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

7.5%Share of team throws

1.9Targets / game

40%Routes run

-1.8Avg depth of target

12.1Yards / game

40%Snap share

Justice Hill's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 11.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Justice Hill overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.