How often has Josh Allen gone over 241.5 passing yards?

Josh Allen has cleared 241.5 passing yards in 6 of his last 10 games.

What is Josh Allen's passing yards line in Week 4?

Josh Allen's Week 4 passing yards line is 241.5 against NE. The ProprStats model projects 226.3 (median).

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop — Week 4

QB · BUF vs NE · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 241.5 passing yards in his last 10

241.5Week 4 line

226.3Model median

42%Model over

60ProprScore

Model read: Josh Allen projects 226 pass yds (median), 15.2 under the 241.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is pulled down by receiver efficiency (-21.8 yds). ⚠ Listed Questionable: ~69% play-probability, so the workload is trimmed and the outcomes carry real mass at zero — treat with caution. Soft spot: an unresolved injury status. Research signal — not a bet.

Josh Allen vs the 241.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
25 wk17	PHI	262	—	OVER
25 wk16	CLE	130	—	UNDER
25 wk15	NE	193	—	UNDER
25 wk14	CIN	251	—	OVER
25 wk13	PIT	123	—	UNDER
25 wk12	HOU	253	—	OVER
25 wk11	TB	317	—	OVER
25 wk10	MIA	306	—	OVER
25 wk9	KC	273	—	OVER
25 wk8	CAR	163	—	UNDER

Graded against this week's 241.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

7.3Avg depth of target

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Josh Allen overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.