Model read: Jordan Love projects 260 pass yds (median), 12.1 over the 247.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by team pass volume (+75.5 yds) and pulled down by receiver efficiency (-39.8 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 wk16 | CHI | 77 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | DEN | 276 | — | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | CHI | 234 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | DET | 234 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk12 | MIN | 139 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | NYG | 174 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk10 | PHI | 176 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk9 | CAR | 273 | — | OVER |
| 25 wk8 | PIT | 360 | — | OVER |
| 25 wk7 | ARI | 179 | — | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 247.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.