How often has Jonnu Smith gone over 7.5 receiving yards?

Jonnu Smith has cleared 7.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is Jonnu Smith's receiving yards line in Week 4?

Jonnu Smith's Week 4 receiving yards line is 7.5 against TB. The ProprStats model projects 14.7 (median).

Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

TE · GB vs TB · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

5 of 10cleared 7.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)

7.5Week 4 line

14.7Model median

67%Model over

74ProprScore

Model read: Jonnu Smith projects 15 rec yds (median), 7.2 over the 7.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by how many teammates are also drawing targets (+9.1 yds) and pulled down by less certain of his role after the move (-16.2 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Jonnu Smith vs the 7.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	ATL	16	3	OVER
Wk 1	MIN	50	3	OVER
25 wk18	BAL	2	2	UNDER
25 wk17	CLE	18	5	OVER
25 wk16	DET	0	1	UNDER
25 wk15	MIA	12	2	OVER
25 wk14	BAL	0	1	UNDER
25 wk13	BUF	6	2	UNDER
25 wk12	CHI	21	3	OVER
25 wk11	CIN	0	2	UNDER

Graded against this week's 7.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

11.4%Share of team throws

3.1Targets / game

43%Routes run

5.8Avg depth of target

23Yards / game

43%Snap share

Jonnu Smith's other Week 4 props

ReceptionsLine 1.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Jonnu Smith overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.