How often has John Bates gone over 0.5 receptions?

John Bates has cleared 0.5 receptions in 8 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is John Bates's receptions line in Week 4?

John Bates's Week 4 receptions line is 0.5 against IND. The ProprStats model projects 1 (median).

John Bates Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · WAS vs IND · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 4

8 of 10cleared 0.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)

0.5Week 4 line

1Model median

66%Model over

84ProprScore

Model read: John Bates projects 1 catches (median), 0.5 over the 0.5 line — the model leans over. Research signal — not a bet.

John Bates vs the 0.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Rec	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	SEA	1	1	OVER
Wk 1	PHI	2	3	OVER
25 wk18	PHI	2	2	OVER
25 wk16	PHI	0	1	UNDER
25 wk15	NYG	1	1	OVER
25 wk14	MIN	0	0	UNDER
25 wk13	DEN	2	2	OVER
25 wk10	DET	1	2	OVER
25 wk9	SEA	2	4	OVER
25 wk8	KC	1	1	OVER

Graded against this week's 0.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

6.6%Share of team throws

1.8Targets / game

48%Routes run

2.5Avg depth of target

10.7Yards / game

48%Snap share

John Bates's other Week 4 props

Receiving YardsLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked John Bates overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.