Jaylen Wright Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · MIA vs MIN · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

1 of 10cleared 1.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
1.5Week 4 line
1Model median
45%Model over
62ProprScore

Model read: Jaylen Wright projects 1 catches (median), 0.5 under the 1.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.

Jaylen Wright vs the 1.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 2SF00UNDER
Wk 1LV00UNDER
25 wk18NE22OVER
25 wk17TB00UNDER
25 wk16CIN12UNDER
25 wk15PIT11UNDER
25 wk14NYJ03UNDER
25 wk13NO00UNDER
25 wk11WAS00UNDER
25 wk10BUF00UNDER

Graded against this week's 1.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

2.2%Share of team throws
0.5Targets / game
14%Routes run
-3.8Avg depth of target
2.4Yards / game
14%Snap share

Jaylen Wright's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.