Model read: Jaylen Waddle projects 23 rec yds (median), 34.4 under the 57.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+15.7 yds) and pulled down by his target share vs. last season (-35.4 yds). ⚠ Listed Questionable: ~69% play-probability, so the workload is trimmed and the outcomes carry real mass at zero — treat with caution. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | LA | 10 | 7 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | JAX | 138 | 10 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | KC | 2 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | TB | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | CIN | 72 | 9 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | PIT | 26 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | NYJ | 50 | 7 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | NO | 40 | 6 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | WAS | 52 | 7 | UNDER |
| 25 wk10 | BUF | 84 | 7 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 57.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.