Javonte Williams Receptions Prop — Week 4

RB · DAL vs HOU · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

3 of 10cleared 2.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
2.5Week 4 line
2Model median
43%Model over
64ProprScore

Model read: Javonte Williams projects 2 catches (median), 0.5 under the 2.5 line — the model leans under. Research signal — not a bet.

Javonte Williams vs the 2.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3BAL23UNDER
Wk 2WAS34OVER
Wk 1NYG55OVER
25 wk17WAS02UNDER
25 wk16LAC23UNDER
25 wk15MIN00UNDER
25 wk14DET24UNDER
25 wk13KC33OVER
25 wk12PHI23UNDER
25 wk11LV11UNDER

Graded against this week's 2.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

10.3%Share of team throws
3.6Targets / game
72%Routes run
-2Avg depth of target
13.6Yards / game
72%Snap share

Javonte Williams's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.