Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

WR · MIN vs MIA · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

8 of 10cleared 27.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
27.5Week 4 line
27.3Model median
50%Model over
39ProprScore

Model read: Jauan Jennings projects 27 rec yds (median), 0.2 under the 27.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+5.7 yds) and pulled down by projected game total and pass rate (-1.4 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Jauan Jennings vs the 27.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3TB12UNDER
Wk 1GB01UNDER
25 wk18SEA356OVER
25 wk17CHI424OVER
25 wk16IND716OVER
25 wk15TEN375OVER
25 wk13CLE396OVER
25 wk12CAR417OVER
25 wk11ARI546OVER
25 wk10LA719OVER

Graded against this week's 27.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

13.6%Share of team throws
3.8Targets / game
73%Routes run
13.7Avg depth of target
21.7Yards / game
73%Snap share

Jauan Jennings's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.