How often has Jared Goff gone over 263.5 passing yards?

Jared Goff has cleared 263.5 passing yards in 7 of his last 10 games.

What is Jared Goff's passing yards line in Week 4?

Jared Goff's Week 4 passing yards line is 263.5 against CAR. The ProprStats model projects 244 (median).

Jared Goff Passing Yards Prop — Week 4

QB · DET vs CAR · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

7 of 10cleared 263.5 passing yards in his last 10

263.5Week 4 line

244Model median

40%Model over

64ProprScore

Model read: Jared Goff projects 244 pass yds (median), 19.5 under the 263.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by team pass volume (+34.4 yds) and pulled down by coverage he’s facing (-29.4 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Jared Goff vs the 263.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
25 wk18	CHI	331	—	OVER
25 wk17	MIN	197	—	UNDER
25 wk16	PIT	364	—	OVER
25 wk15	LA	338	—	OVER
25 wk14	DAL	309	—	OVER
25 wk13	GB	256	—	UNDER
25 wk12	NYG	279	—	OVER
25 wk11	PHI	255	—	UNDER
25 wk10	WAS	320	—	OVER
25 wk9	MIN	284	—	OVER

Graded against this week's 263.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

6.4Avg depth of target

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Jared Goff overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.