James Cook Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

RB · BUF vs NE · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 2

5 of 10cleared 7.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
7.5Week 4 line
9.9Model median
59%Model over
62ProprScore

Model read: James Cook projects 10 rec yds (median), 2.4 over the 7.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+1.8 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-0.8 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

James Cook vs the 7.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3LAC01UNDER
Wk 2DET43UNDER
Wk 1HOU124OVER
25 wk18NYJ00UNDER
25 wk17PHI34UNDER
25 wk16CLE172OVER
25 wk15NE43UNDER
25 wk14CIN312OVER
25 wk13PIT333OVER
25 wk12HOU133OVER

Graded against this week's 7.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

9.1%Share of team throws
2.5Targets / game
64%Routes run
0.4Avg depth of target
11.2Yards / game
64%Snap share

James Cook's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.