Model read: James Cook projects 10 rec yds (median), 2.4 over the 7.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+1.8 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-0.8 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | LAC | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | DET | 4 | 3 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | HOU | 12 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk18 | NYJ | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | PHI | 3 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | CLE | 17 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | NE | 4 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | CIN | 31 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | PIT | 33 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | HOU | 13 | 3 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 7.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.