Model read: Jalen Hurts projects 242 pass yds (median), 44.8 over the 197.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by team pass volume (+13.9 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 wk17 | BUF | 110 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | WAS | 185 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | LV | 175 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | LAC | 240 | — | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | CHI | 230 | — | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | DAL | 289 | — | OVER |
| 25 wk11 | DET | 135 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk10 | GB | 183 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk8 | NYG | 179 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk7 | MIN | 326 | — | OVER |
Graded against this week's 197.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.