Model read: Jalen Coker projects 16 rec yds (median), 33.5 under the 49.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+4.1 yds) and pulled down by his target share vs. last season (-32.6 yds). ⚠ Listed Questionable: ~69% play-probability, so the workload is trimmed and the outcomes carry real mass at zero — treat with caution. Soft spot: an unresolved injury status. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | CLE | 18 | 4 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | ATL | 66 | 9 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | CHI | 138 | 9 | OVER |
| 25 wk18 | TB | 47 | 7 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | SEA | 16 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | TB | 47 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | NO | 60 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | LA | 74 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | SF | 32 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | ATL | 52 | 4 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 49.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.