Model read: Jahan Dotson projects 24 rec yds (median), 6.6 over the 17.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+11.2 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-3.0 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | GB | 11 | 3 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | CAR | 11 | 4 | UNDER |
| Wk 1 | PIT | 19 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk18 | WAS | 40 | 8 | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | BUF | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | WAS | 13 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | LAC | 3 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | CHI | 12 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk12 | DAL | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | DET | 43 | 2 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 17.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.