Model read: Jacoby Brissett projects 260 pass yds (median), 27.1 over the 232.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by receiver efficiency (+20.4 yds) and pulled down by team pass volume (-9.9 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 wk18 | LA | 243 | — | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | CIN | 212 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | ATL | 203 | — | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | HOU | 249 | — | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | LA | 271 | — | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | TB | 301 | — | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | JAX | 317 | — | OVER |
| 25 wk11 | SF | 452 | — | OVER |
| 25 wk10 | SEA | 258 | — | OVER |
| 25 wk9 | DAL | 261 | — | OVER |
Graded against this week's 232.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.