Model read: Isaiah Davis projects 9 rec yds (median), 0.2 under the 9.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by how many teammates are also drawing targets (+7.7 yds) and pulled down by average target depth and yards after the catch (-1.0 yds). Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | DET | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | GB | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | NE | 9 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | NO | 52 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | JAX | 7 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | MIA | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | ATL | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk12 | BAL | 0 | 0 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | NE | 0 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk10 | CLE | 1 | 1 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 9.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.