Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

TE · NE vs BUF · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

7 of 10cleared 31.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
31.5Week 4 line
32.6Model median
52%Model over
43ProprScore

Model read: Hunter Henry projects 33 rec yds (median), 1.1 over the 31.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by how many teammates are also drawing targets (+5.5 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-7.5 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Hunter Henry vs the 31.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3JAX52UNDER
Wk 2PIT405OVER
Wk 1SEA263UNDER
25 wk18MIA565OVER
25 wk17NYJ493OVER
25 wk16BAL357OVER
25 wk15BUF183UNDER
25 wk13NYG736OVER
25 wk12CIN11510OVER
25 wk11NYJ456OVER

Graded against this week's 31.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

15.1%Share of team throws
4.2Targets / game
79%Routes run
8.3Avg depth of target
34.4Yards / game
79%Snap share

Hunter Henry's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.