Model read: Harold Fannin Jr. projects 39 rec yds (median), 1.7 under the 40.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by yards per target the defense allows (+3.9 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-4.9 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | CAR | 51 | 9 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | TB | 54 | 6 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | JAX | 21 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | PIT | 30 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | BUF | 34 | 6 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | CHI | 48 | 14 | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | TEN | 114 | 11 | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | SF | 43 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | LV | 40 | 6 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | BAL | 26 | 5 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 40.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.