Gunnar Helm Receptions Prop — Week 4

TE · TEN vs BAL · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

5 of 10cleared 2.5 receptions in his last 10 (two seasons)
2.5Week 4 line
3Model median
51%Model over
51ProprScore

Model read: Gunnar Helm projects 3 catches (median), 0.5 over the 2.5 line — the model leans over. Research signal — not a bet.

Gunnar Helm vs the 2.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppRecTgtResult
Wk 3NYG24UNDER
Wk 2PHI22UNDER
Wk 1NYJ45OVER
25 wk17NO12UNDER
25 wk16KC23UNDER
25 wk15SF44OVER
25 wk14CLE12UNDER
25 wk13JAX67OVER
25 wk12SEA67OVER
25 wk11HOU45OVER

Graded against this week's 2.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

12.4%Share of team throws
3.6Targets / game
67%Routes run
4.8Avg depth of target
20.3Yards / game
67%Snap share

Gunnar Helm's other Week 4 props

More NFL prop research

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.