Model read: George Pickens projects 4 catches (median), 0.5 under the 4.5 line — the model leans under. Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Rec | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | BAL | 7 | 11 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | WAS | 6 | 8 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | NYG | 3 | 6 | UNDER |
| 25 wk18 | NYG | 1 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk17 | WAS | 4 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | LAC | 7 | 9 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | MIN | 3 | 6 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | DET | 5 | 9 | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | KC | 6 | 13 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | PHI | 9 | 9 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 4.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.