Model read: Elic Ayomanor projects 30 rec yds (median), 9.8 over the 20.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by projected game total and pass rate (+6.7 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-4.8 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | NYG | 11 | 3 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | PHI | 69 | 3 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | NYJ | 11 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk18 | JAX | 50 | 10 | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | NO | 37 | 7 | OVER |
| 25 wk16 | KC | 58 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | SF | 17 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk14 | CLE | 14 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | JAX | 5 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | HOU | 11 | 6 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 20.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.