How often has Drake Maye gone over 231.5 passing yards?

Drake Maye has cleared 231.5 passing yards in 8 of his last 10 games.

What is Drake Maye's passing yards line in Week 4?

Drake Maye's Week 4 passing yards line is 231.5 against BUF. The ProprStats model projects 235.7 (median).

Drake Maye Passing Yards Prop — Week 4

QB · NE vs BUF · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

8 of 10cleared 231.5 passing yards in his last 10

231.5Week 4 line

235.7Model median

52%Model over

45ProprScore

Model read: Drake Maye projects 236 pass yds (median), 4.2 over the 231.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by team pass volume (+59.5 yds) and pulled down by coverage he’s facing (-43.7 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Drake Maye vs the 231.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
25 wk18	MIA	191	—	UNDER
25 wk17	NYJ	256	—	OVER
25 wk16	BAL	380	—	OVER
25 wk15	BUF	155	—	UNDER
25 wk13	NYG	282	—	OVER
25 wk12	CIN	294	—	OVER
25 wk11	NYJ	281	—	OVER
25 wk10	TB	270	—	OVER
25 wk9	ATL	259	—	OVER
25 wk8	CLE	282	—	OVER

Graded against this week's 231.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

9.1Avg depth of target

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked Drake Maye overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.