Model read: Dontayvion Wicks projects 36 rec yds (median), 23.0 under the 58.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+5.1 yds) and pulled down by less certain of his role after the move (-10.8 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | CHI | 32 | 5 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | TEN | 74 | 6 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | WAS | 73 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | BAL | 7 | 1 | UNDER |
| 25 wk16 | CHI | 12 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | DEN | 6 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | DET | 94 | 7 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | MIN | 32 | 4 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | NYG | 9 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk10 | PHI | 38 | 8 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 58.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.