How often has DJ Moore gone over 49.5 receiving yards?

DJ Moore has cleared 49.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is DJ Moore's receiving yards line in Week 4?

DJ Moore's Week 4 receiving yards line is 49.5 against NE. The ProprStats model projects 37.5 (median).

DJ Moore Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

WR · BUF vs NE · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

5 of 10cleared 49.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)

49.5Week 4 line

37.5Model median

37%Model over

68ProprScore

Model read: DJ Moore projects 38 rec yds (median), 12.0 under the 49.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his target share vs. last season (+5.4 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-7.4 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

DJ Moore vs the 49.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	LAC	67	10	OVER
Wk 2	DET	0	0	UNDER
Wk 1	HOU	100	8	OVER
25 wk18	DET	11	3	UNDER
25 wk17	SF	7	4	UNDER
25 wk16	GB	97	7	OVER
25 wk15	CLE	69	5	OVER
25 wk14	GB	-4	3	UNDER
25 wk13	PHI	17	5	UNDER
25 wk12	PIT	64	7	OVER

Graded against this week's 49.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

19.5%Share of team throws

5.5Targets / game

71%Routes run

13.7Avg depth of target

47.9Yards / game

71%Snap share

DJ Moore's other Week 4 props

ReceptionsLine 3.5 Anytime TouchdownLine 0.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked DJ Moore overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.