Model read: Devaughn Vele projects 26 rec yds (median), 18.2 under the 44.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by average target depth and yards after the catch (+4.8 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-18.2 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | LV | 39 | 6 | UNDER |
| Wk 2 | BAL | 64 | 7 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | DET | 69 | 9 | OVER |
| 25 wk15 | CAR | 69 | 6 | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | TB | 40 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | MIA | 93 | 8 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | ATL | 37 | 7 | UNDER |
| 25 wk10 | CAR | 15 | 3 | UNDER |
| 25 wk8 | TB | 10 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk5 | NYG | 13 | 2 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 44.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.