How often has DeMario Douglas gone over 27.5 receiving yards?

DeMario Douglas has cleared 27.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 10 games (spanning two seasons).

What is DeMario Douglas's receiving yards line in Week 4?

DeMario Douglas's Week 4 receiving yards line is 27.5 against BUF. The ProprStats model projects 28 (median).

DeMario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

WR · NE vs BUF · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

5 of 10cleared 27.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)

27.5Week 4 line

28Model median

51%Model over

39ProprScore

Model read: DeMario Douglas projects 28 rec yds (median), 0.5 over the 27.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by how many teammates are also drawing targets (+5.5 yds) and pulled down by yards per target the defense allows (-2.1 yds). Soft spot: a thin sample. Research signal — not a bet.

DeMario Douglas vs the 27.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
Wk 3	JAX	38	5	OVER
Wk 2	PIT	9	2	UNDER
Wk 1	SEA	20	7	UNDER
25 wk18	MIA	29	3	OVER
25 wk17	NYJ	10	2	UNDER
25 wk16	BAL	6	2	UNDER
25 wk15	BUF	0	0	UNDER
25 wk13	NYG	33	3	OVER
25 wk12	CIN	37	1	OVER
25 wk11	NYJ	36	3	OVER

Graded against this week's 27.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

13.5%Share of team throws

3.8Targets / game

41%Routes run

10.1Avg depth of target

25.1Yards / game

41%Snap share

DeMario Douglas's other Week 4 props

ReceptionsLine 2.5

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked DeMario Douglas overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.