Model read: Davante Adams projects 48 rec yds (median), 18.0 under the 65.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+2.3 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-25.6 yds). Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | DEN | 137 | 13 | OVER |
| Wk 2 | NYG | 195 | 10 | OVER |
| Wk 1 | SF | 26 | 6 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | DET | 71 | 9 | OVER |
| 25 wk14 | ARI | 29 | 6 | UNDER |
| 25 wk13 | CAR | 58 | 5 | UNDER |
| 25 wk12 | TB | 62 | 8 | UNDER |
| 25 wk11 | SEA | 1 | 8 | UNDER |
| 25 wk10 | SF | 77 | 8 | OVER |
| 25 wk9 | NO | 60 | 7 | UNDER |
Graded against this week's 65.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.