Model read: Darius Slayton projects 33 rec yds (median), 17.7 over the 15.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by his team's pass volume vs. last season (+10.4 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-2.0 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.
| Week | Opp | Yds | Tgt | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 wk18 | DAL | 34 | 9 | OVER |
| 25 wk17 | LV | 36 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk16 | MIN | 8 | 2 | UNDER |
| 25 wk15 | WAS | 53 | 10 | OVER |
| 25 wk13 | NE | 41 | 3 | OVER |
| 25 wk12 | DET | 23 | 2 | OVER |
| 25 wk10 | CHI | 89 | 4 | OVER |
| 25 wk9 | SF | 62 | 7 | OVER |
| 25 wk8 | PHI | 26 | 5 | OVER |
| 25 wk5 | NO | 31 | 6 | OVER |
Graded against this week's 15.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.
Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.