How often has Dak Prescott gone over 266.5 passing yards?

Dak Prescott has cleared 266.5 passing yards in 6 of his last 10 games.

What is Dak Prescott's passing yards line in Week 4?

Dak Prescott's Week 4 passing yards line is 266.5 against HOU. The ProprStats model projects 238.5 (median).

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop — Week 4

QB · DAL vs HOU · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 266.5 passing yards in his last 10

266.5Week 4 line

238.5Model median

36%Model over

71ProprScore

Model read: Dak Prescott projects 238 pass yds (median), 28.0 under the 266.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by game flow (+10.9 yds) and pulled down by coverage he’s facing (-30.7 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

Dak Prescott vs the 266.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
25 wk18	NYG	70	—	UNDER
25 wk17	WAS	307	—	OVER
25 wk16	LAC	244	—	UNDER
25 wk15	MIN	294	—	OVER
25 wk14	DET	376	—	OVER
25 wk13	KC	320	—	OVER
25 wk12	PHI	354	—	OVER
25 wk11	LV	268	—	OVER
25 wk9	ARI	250	—	UNDER
25 wk8	DEN	188	—	UNDER

Graded against this week's 266.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

8Avg depth of target

More NFL prop research

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.