How often has C.J. Stroud gone over 245.5 passing yards?

C.J. Stroud has cleared 245.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 10 games.

What is C.J. Stroud's passing yards line in Week 4?

C.J. Stroud's Week 4 passing yards line is 245.5 against DAL. The ProprStats model projects 257.3 (median).

C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Prop — Week 4

QB · HOU vs DAL · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

3 of 10cleared 245.5 passing yards in his last 10

245.5Week 4 line

257.3Model median

56%Model over

55ProprScore

Model read: C.J. Stroud projects 257 pass yds (median), 11.8 over the 245.5 line — the model leans over. Its yards projection is lifted most by receiver efficiency (+17.4 yds) and pulled down by game flow (-26.9 yds). Research signal — not a bet.

C.J. Stroud vs the 245.5 line — last 10 games

Week	Opp	Yds	Tgt	Result
25 wk18	IND	169	—	UNDER
25 wk17	LAC	244	—	UNDER
25 wk16	LV	187	—	UNDER
25 wk15	ARI	260	—	OVER
25 wk14	KC	203	—	UNDER
25 wk13	IND	276	—	OVER
25 wk9	DEN	79	—	UNDER
25 wk8	SF	318	—	OVER
25 wk7	SEA	229	—	UNDER
25 wk5	BAL	244	—	UNDER

Graded against this week's 245.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

8Avg depth of target

More NFL prop research

TD ZoneScoring field map, red-zone target share, goal-line usage Props BoardEvery Week 4 prop ranked C.J. Stroud overviewAll props, usage and matchup

Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.