Chris Olave Receiving Yards Prop — Week 4

WR · NO vs ATL · 2026 Week 4 · updated Oct 1

6 of 10cleared 85.5 receiving yards in his last 10 (two seasons)
85.5Week 4 line
56.3Model median
27%Model over
77ProprScore

Model read: Chris Olave projects 56 rec yds (median), 29.2 under the 85.5 line — the model leans under. Its yards projection is lifted most by yards per target the defense allows (+3.3 yds) and pulled down by how many teammates are also drawing targets (-38.0 yds). Soft spot: a volatile role. Research signal — not a bet.

Chris Olave vs the 85.5 line — last 10 games

WeekOppYdsTgtResult
Wk 3LV10713OVER
Wk 2BAL8610OVER
Wk 1DET18213OVER
25 wk17TEN11911OVER
25 wk16NYJ14816OVER
25 wk15CAR859UNDER
25 wk14TB305UNDER
25 wk13MIA477UNDER
25 wk12ATL7013UNDER
25 wk10CAR1048OVER

Graded against this week's 85.5 line, not the line each game was actually posted at — so it answers “how often would this number have cleared”, which is the question a bettor is asking today.

What the model is reading

29.3%Share of team throws
10.9Targets / game
85%Routes run
12.5Avg depth of target
98.8Yards / game
85%Snap share

Chris Olave's other Week 4 props

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Research tool. ProprScore is an ABSOLUTE 35–89 scale (never higher): it measures how far our projection sits from the line relative to the outcome's own spread — NOT a betting edge or confidence. A quiet slate tops out low, and that is information. Testing found no betting edge on the main line.